What is the future impact on BTC when Musk calls for a ban on the US financial regulator DOGE?
2024-11-29 10:38

Macro interpretation:


Musk, who has always had some disruptive innovation and bold rhetoric, today tweeted that there is excessive duplication and redundancy in U. S. government agencies, singling out the Consumer Financial Protection Agency (CFPB) as a classic example of repeated regulation and calling for it to be banned. The CFPB was created in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis to protect consumers from unfair, deceptive, or predatory financial practices. Musk, however, believes that such institutions are redundant in the current regulatory system. Since its inception, the CFPB has secured more than $19 billion in relief for consumers and punished several large financial institutions and technology companies suspected of improperly handling funds. Nevertheless, the existence of the CFPB has been highly controversial. Republicans and some business groups believe that excessive regulation will have a negative impact on financial activity, limiting the lending issue and the growth of credit consumption.

Mr Musk's appeal is not an isolated incident. Earlier this month, Trump announced a new Government Efficiency Department (DOGE), led by Musk and American entrepreneur Ramaswami, to cut government spending and streamline the bureaucracy. Musk and Ramaswami proposed plans to cut a number of unreasonable federal regulations and began to implement mass layoffs. Mr Musk has said he has about 428 federal agencies that he will cut to 99.

Let's take this opportunity to talk about some of the next effects of Musk's DOGE:


In fact, the role and power of DOGE is to provide advice rather than have real power. It is an advisory body that operates outside the U. S. government and has no real power to advise the White House.

We think DOGE is struggling to cut $2 trillion in government spending because the US Treasury decision is in Congress, while DOGE has only the right to recommend it. As an advisory body, DOGE does not have the authority to directly fire government employees or reduce government agencies, which is expected to achieve a low possibility of mass layoffs and restructuring of government agencies. After Trump returns to the White House, the impact of his policy propositions on Tesla and the overall electric vehicle industry will divided. Tesla may benefit from the "Musk effect" in the medium and long term. Musk's influence may be limited to technology-related fields, reflected in the focus and acceleration of technology-related policies. Musk may not necessarily make extreme Trump's policies in a broader area.

As for the potential impact of Musk's DOGE (Government Efficiency Department) on BTC prices, multiple factors need to be considered:

Musk has a significant influence in the cryptocurrency market, and his tweets and public statements have repeatedly caused market volatility. Although DOGE is his project with Trump, its impact on the cryptocurrency market may be limited because DOGE's main goal is to cut government spending and streamline bureaucracy, which has little direct connection to the cryptocurrency market.

Musk's criticism and calls for the CFPB may indirectly affect the cryptocurrency market. The weakening of the CFPB's function for consumer financial protection may reduce the regulation of cryptocurrency-related fraud and misconduct, which may increase market uncertainty in the short term and put pressure on BTC prices. On the other hand, Musk's criticism of regulation may reflect his support for financial liberalization, which could have a positive impact on the cryptocurrency market. If the regulatory environment becomes looser, it could attract more investors to the market, which could push up BTC prices.

Musk's DOGE project itself may have a limited direct impact on BTC prices, but its attitude and actions towards financial regulation may indirectly affect market sentiment and investor behavior. Given Musk's influence, any comments and actions could be a catalyst for market volatility. We should keep an eye out on Musk's dynamics and his views on regulatory policies, which could have an impact on BTC prices.